We are now underway with our April NI-Wide Opinion Panel Poll which will be the final one before the 7th May UK General Election - results in the Belfast Telegraph at start of May. As such, and as a way of preparing for this final pre-election Opinion Panel Poll, we thought it would be good to put together the results of our January, February, and March Opinion Panel Polls in one results table. This will allow us to see the trends up and down, and enable a good comparison for our April Opinion Panel results and forecast when they are published at the start of May.
UPPER BANN AND SOUTH BELFAST ARE THE BIG CHANGES
So we've now got the final results from our April Opinion Panel Poll, and the last before the general election on 7th May. If you've been following our monthly polls since January you will know that our Northern Ireland (NI) Opinion Panel has 440 participants and is carefully constructed to provide an accurate representation of Northern Ireland opinion - via gender, area of residence, age-group, community background, socio-economic group, and employment group. The opinion panel has a pool of approximately 1,200 members who regularly take part in LucidTalk poll projects, and for this project a representative sample of 440 opinions has been collated.
All polling, indeed all elections offer a snapshot of opinion on a particular date, or at a particular time. The key advantage polling has over elections is that they can occur more frequently, and therefore can show changes in opinion more quickly than formal elections, which by their nature only happen in 4-5 year cycles. The current LucidTalk poll has shown and confirmed a number of trends that have already been shown in recent Northern Ireland (NI) elections, and which many people would know are an accurate reflection of current Northern Ireland opinion.