No pollster or political soothsayer can guarantee what will happen on Thursday. All we can really promise is to raise uncertainty to a higher level of sophistication. The closeness of the Labour-Conservative race is plainly one reason. If today’s polls are slightly out, or there is a last-minute swing, the results may confound all expectations.

As a way of a ‘warm-up’ for our April Opinion Panel poll results, to be published in the Belfast Telegraph at the start of May (a few days before general election day on 7th May), we’ve combined the results from our January, February, and March Opinion Polls into one table. We have also provided an analysis and commentary of the trends and patterns, and we’ll be able to see shortly if our April panel poll continues with these trends, or throws up some new results. For our January to March results, commentary, and review see

Last night in the Strand Cinema, East Belfast, an excellent East Belfast 2015 Election Hustings event was run by Slugger O’Toole in association with Chambre Public Affairs and LucidTalk. The event featured a head-to-head debate between Naomi Long (Alliance) and Gavin Robinson (DUP). LucidTalk carried out some e-polling at the event which threw up some interesting results – full results of this e-polling can be found here